Warmer today, winter mess this weekend

A bit windy on Monday, but that allowed for warmer air from the south to move into the region.  In fact, it warmed up a bit more than what I forecasted for the day, as the afternoon temperature warmed to 51 after starting the day out at 26 in Butler.

More of the same for your Tuesday.  Still looking for a bit a drizzle possible early on, but other than that temperatures will be in the mid-50s.  Back down into the mid-30s Tuesday night, and a bit warmer on Wednesday as we’ll be in the upper 50s for the daytime highs.

A cold front will move through the region on Wednesday night, which will keep temperatures towards seasonal norms.  No precipitation associated with the frontal passage, but you notice the wind shift to northerly winds.

Friday we’re still looking at the beginning of a complex weather situation as a disturbance that is currently off the Pacific coast makes its way into the region. It’s a few days out still, but couple things are beginning to take note in the model runs.

First off there is ample moisture to bring precipitation. Second, surface temperatures will be at or below freezing beginning on Friday.  This alone can give us mixed precipitation for the weekend. The real concern is the temperature with height in the atmosphere.

Models are showing warmer air aloft which will allow for the snow and ice crystals to melt as they pass through the warmer air.  Then, the rain will either freeze as it falls through the lower, colder layer, or freeze on contact with the freezing surface. Sleet and freezing rain is a distinct possibility beginning on Friday and continuing through the weekend. It’s a distinct possibility that we could see an ice storm this coming weekend.

Here’s your Quickcast:

Today: Mostly cloudy skies. Highs in the mid-50s.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy skies, lows in the mid-30s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy skies continue. South winds continue to pump the warmer air into the region, highs in the upper 50s.

Wednesday night: Partly cloudy skies, lows in the mid-30s.

Thursday: Partly cloudy skies, and cooler.  Highs in the mid-40s.

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